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August 25, 2008
  
More Draft Notes

Last time, as you might recall, I checked on the guys the Mets drafted who were playing at Brooklyn. This time, I’ll focus on guys who were either recently moved up to Brooklyn or who are currently playing in the lower minors. So, without further ado:

  • Eric Beaulac has now pitched at three different levels this season, starting out in Kingsport, stopping in Brooklyn, and currently residing in Savannah, and he’s been great everywhere. The Mets drafted him in the ninth round out of Le Moyne College in Syracuse. He’s a six-foot-five right-hander with a good sinking fastball that clocks regularly in the low-90s, and he’s been clocked at high as 98 with the four-seamer this season, which really surprised some people. He’s got a slider which can be a plus pitch at times, but it’s been known to lack consistency.

    Here are the reasons he fell to the ninth round. First, his velocity was up-and-down this past spring, and his command was off, both of which can worry teams about potential for injury and mechanical inconsistencies in the delivery. The good news is that he pitched much, much better as the draft approached, but it remains a cause for concern. The second major issue is his arm strength. I haven’t seen him pitch yet, but many scouts noticed his velocity fell off into the 80s as he pitched deeper into games. Third, he’s got some effort in his delivery. By that I mean he’s very reliant on his arm to power the ball to the plate, placing stress on his shoulder and elbow. I’d really prefer a looser arm action that uses the rest of his body more. Finally, the fourth problem is a lack of offspeed stuff; the slider is, as I said, inconsistent, and his changeup needs a lot of work.

    The end result might be a pitcher who looks a lot like a reliever (a two-pitch pitcher who lacks the endurance to pitch deep into games), but he’ll be given every chance to fail as a starter, which sure hasn’t happened yet.

  • The Mets’ 25th round selection, Connecticut righty Erik Turgeon, started in Kingsport, but pitched well enough to earn a quick promotion to Brooklyn, where he’s struck out 19 batters in just 14 innings. Turgeon really didn’t pitch well at UConn (6.67 ERA this season in limited work), but he does have a fringe-average fastball (88-91) and a good hard curve that he throws in the mid-70s. He also throws a slider and change, but neither looks like an effective pitch.

    He’s a small-frame guy (6-1, 185), and he doesn’t really have the arsenal to make it as a starter, so he’s going to stay in the pen, where he figures as a possible righty arm with limited use against lefties. Without a great fastball though, he’s very fringy.

  • Brandon Moore, the organization’s 14th-round choice, is a guy I kind of like, as far as 14th-round picks go. The Mets took him out of Indiana-Wesleyan, where he went 10-3 with a 1.73 ERA, with 131 strikeouts and 24 walks over 93.2 innings. At six-three, 190 pounds he has a decent frame for pitching that still offers a little bit of projection. On the mound, he has a low-90s fastball and a good high-70s curve, and he’s got a clean arm action.

    The Mets initially had him in Brooklyn, but he gave up a couple of homeruns and they shipped him down to Kingsport, where he’s thrown 16 scoreless innings, striking out 18. His control hasn’t been too good (14 walks in 29 total innings), however, and will bear watching.

  • Fifth-round catcher Dock Doyle just moved in the opposite direction, from Kingsport to Brooklyn. In Kingsport, he hit .308/.390/.390. I was very intrigued by the pick when it was made, taking Doyle in my shadow draft, and the more I thought about it, the more I liked it. Doyle has just an average arm behind the plate, but he throws quickly and is a skilled receiver. In other words, he’ll certainly stick at the position, a worry for most young catchers.

    As for his bat, I’m relatively confident he can hit for average and get on-base, but I question whether any power will emerge. He hit 40 extra-base hits (including 16 homers) for Coastal Carolina in 2008, but he was a senior this year, and it was the first year he demonstrated any at all. I saw him hit after the draft, and he’s got a simple, uncomplicated swing at the plate that produces line drives, but, again, one that might not produce much power.

  • Second-round pick Javier Rodriguez has not been impressive for the Gulf Coast Mets. Rodriguez is an athletic outfielder from Puerto Rico, who’s pretty rough around the edges. Scouts liked his bat speed, raw power, arm strength, and frame, but he got mixed reviews on his baseball skills. Some reported problems in centerfield—he looks more like a right fielder to me—and his swing has some length and awkwardness to it. He also seemed to struggle when given anything offspeed. Power-wise, he’s shown some to his pull-side, but he can’t drive the ball the other way yet and won’t until he learns to wait on the pitch better. How much power develops is up in the air.

    He’s hitting .195/.262/.241 right now, so he’s definitely more of a long-term project.

  • Seventh-round righty Mike Hebert hasn’t had much more success in the GCL either, posting a 4.71 ERA over his first 21 professional innings with 19 strikeouts and 29 walks. A California high schooler with a projectable six-three frame, his struggles don’t particularly surprise me. He doesn’t have great velocity yet, sitting in the high-80s, though there’s hope for more as he grows into his body. Second, he doesn’t have a good offspeed pitch either. I didn’t see a changeup to speak of in his scouting video, and the slow curve was too soft and loopy most of the time. He did throw a couple good ones though, so it has potential. Mechanics-wise, he could definitely stand to make some adjustments. His arm action has some effort, his shoulder flies open, and he has a tendency to land on a stiff leg—all reasons for his control difficulties. Also a project.

10 Responses to “More Draft Notes”

  1. Comment posted by john on August 25, 2008 at 8:40 am (#816023)

    Good stuff Alex. I love these articles about the draft picks. There’s so much information on baseball and the mets out on the web but far less on the minors.

  2. Comment posted by Danny on August 25, 2008 at 8:41 am (#816026)

    Great stuff, Alex. Beaulac’s scouting video screamed reliever at me. I’m excited about his start, and maybe we get lucky and his conditioning improves and he sticks as a starter. Either way, he definitely looks like a potential major leaguer.

    Dock Doyle is an interesting one. He didn’t call pitches in college, so that is going to be quite the adjustment for him as he moves up. He certainly won’t be a fast riser or anything. But the Mets definitely seem to like his stick. He has DHed a lot on the days he hasn’t caught. Definitely a guy that I like and one to keep an eye on.

    Rodriguez’s start is disappointing. I liked his bat speed from the scouting video A LOT, but obviously he is pretty raw.

    I didn’t think very much of Hebert at all from his scouting video. Very straight fastball. Bad curve. Poor command of everything. I thought he was a reach in the 7th round as a high school pitcher. Nothing he has done so far has changed my mind about him, but I remain hopeful as always.

    This is great stuff Alex. What do you think about an article on some of the international guys in their first or second years? Flores, Puello, Marte, Mejia, Cleto, Welch, all of those guys. I don’t want to give you work but I would love to hear what you think about those guys!

  3. Comment posted by john on August 25, 2008 at 9:06 am (#816036)

    Wilmer in August .280/.340/.376 ……slacker lol.

  4. Comment posted by WilmerHasArrived on August 25, 2008 at 10:25 am (#816108)

    I what to know where these people will be next year:
    1) Wilmer, 2) IkeyD, 3) Reese, 4) Brad Holt, 5) mike carp, 6)fernando.

  5. Comment posted by john on August 25, 2008 at 10:36 am (#816121)

    If I had to guess

    1) Wilmer - He’ll start in Savannah….his production there will determine IMO where he stays or moves to Brooklyn when their season begins.

    2) Davis - Didnt really do well at Brooklyn. But I can see St Lucie.

    3) Resse - St Lucie

    4. Holt - St. Lucie

    5 Carp - Either AA or AAA

    6. Fernando - Same thing. Prob AAA

  6. Comment posted by john on August 25, 2008 at 10:37 am (#816122)

    I been looking at recent drafts and usually it seems to go

    Kingsport and GCL the good players move to Savannah
    Cyclones the good players move to St. Lucie.

    Not written in stone but happens more often then not.

  7. Comment posted by WilmerHasArrived on August 25, 2008 at 10:44 am (#816130)

    Why the hell did they have to maken it so confusing? Just have AAA, AA, A, and rookie teams.

  8. Comment posted by john on August 25, 2008 at 10:53 am (#816142)

    lol We got

    AAA - New Orleans Zephrys
    AA - Binghampton Mets
    High A - St Lucie Mets
    Low A - Savannah Gnats
    A Short Season - Brooklyn Cyclones
    Rookie - Kingsport Mets
    Rookie - GCL Mets

    Then theres also VSL Mets and DSL Mets too lol.

    So 9 teams :)

  9. Gravatar
  10. Comment posted by Alex Nelson on August 25, 2008 at 2:23 pm (#816208)

    Dock Doyle is an interesting one. He didn’t call pitches in college, so that is going to be quite the adjustment for him as he moves up. He certainly won’t be a fast riser or anything.

    I dunno. Not sure how many catchers actually do call pitches in college these days. (Actually, as I was writing this comment, I saw this at BTF. The apparent answer: fewer and fewer.) But catchers very rarely are fast risers, so it’s not unexpected.

    I didn’t think very much of Hebert at all from his scouting video. Very straight fastball. Bad curve. Poor command of everything. I thought he was a reach in the 7th round as a high school pitcher. Nothing he has done so far has changed my mind about him, but I remain hopeful as always.

    Yeah, the video is pretty brutal. When he’s able to throw the curve in the low-to-mid 70s, it’s got some good break, but more often than not he telegraphs the pitch and uncorks it 64-68, looking like a little league curveball. He’s got the frame and a quick arm though, so there’s hope.

    This is great stuff Alex. What do you think about an article on some of the international guys in their first or second years? Flores, Puello, Marte, Mejia, Cleto, Welch, all of those guys. I don’t want to give you work but I would love to hear what you think about those guys!

    The real problem with those guys is I’m not sure how much I can find about them. Wilmer, thanks to his hot start, is an exception, but the others…

    I’ll scrounge around though.

  11. Comment posted by john on August 25, 2008 at 2:40 pm (#816210)

    Its tough once you get below Brooklyn……..heck they dont even post GCL box scores till the next day sometimes lol

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