Welcome back to Month in Review, Mets Geek’s analysis of the Mets’ last thirty-one days. You can find our previous installments this year here, here, and here.
Well the Mets finally had a month to be proud of. After a 13-15 June, the Mets caught fire in July, going 18-8, largely thanks to their 10-game winning streak at the beginning of the month. Here are our team-by-team splits:
Team W L RS RA
Cincinnati 2 2 21 25
Colorado 3 0 12 1
Florida 1 2 12 15
Philadelphia 5 2 40 30
St. Louis 4 2 49 26
San Francisco 3 0 19 3
Oddly, to me at least, the Mets only played six teams during the month. Some other things to note: The Mets really did score 49 runs in six games against the Cards; the lowest scoring affair was a 7-2 Mets victory. They also outscored the Giants and Rockies 31-4 over six consecutive games.
And home/road:
Split W L RS RA
Home 10 2 70 29
Away 8 6 83 71
The Mets were god-like at Shea. Run differentials:
Split W L
1 run 2 2
2-3 runs 8 4
4-5 runs 4 2
6+ runs 4 0
Comings: Tony Armas (7/1), Argenis Reyes (7/3), Chris Aguila (7/3), Nick Evans (7/8), Carlos Muniz (7/10), Robinson Cancel (7/11), Brandon Knight (7/26), Willie Collazo (7/27),
Goings: Andy Phillips (7/1), Carlos Muniz (7/3), Chris Aguila (7/11), Brandon Knight (7/27), Willie Collazo (7/29)
Official Comings and Goings Man of the Year standings:
Carlos Muniz 7
Robinson Cancel 6
Chris Aguila 4
Raul Casanova 3
Nick Evans 3
Muniz has inched ahead, but Cancel’s still hot on his heels. Incidentally, it’s the only time Cancel has ever been hot on anybody’s heels.
Injuries: Luis Castillo, Ryan Church, Tony Armas
Anyone miss Luis Castillo?
Our offense and pitching splits:
Stat June July
Runs Scored: 120 153
Runs Allowed: 132 100
Team OBA: .325 .374
Team SLG: .378 .481
Team BA with RISP: .224 .267
Opponents’ OBA: .343 .308
Opponents’ SLG: .397 .380
Opponents’ BA with RISP: .296 .273
Starters’ ERA: 4.22 3.24
Starters’ K/9: 7.2 7.7
Starters’ BB/9: 3.6 2.8
Starters’ HR/9: 0.78 1.08
Relievers’ ERA: 4.43 4.61
Relievers’ K/9: 7.0 8.7
Relievers’ BB/9: 3.5 3.7
Relievers’ HR/9: 1.31 0.79
The bullpen was the only component of the team that had a poor month, but it’s worth noting that their peripherals improved considerably from last month. It’s a pretty schizophrenic squad.
Stat May June
OBA vs. RH Pitchers: .323 .375
SLG vs. RH Pitchers: .388 .506
OBA vs. LH Pitchers: .331 .373
SLG vs. LH Pitchers: .345 .402
RH Opp. OBA: .335 .297
RH Opp. SLG: .405 .335
LH Opp. OBA: .354 .324
LH Opp. SLG: .384 .445
For the second straight month, the lineup has performed better against righties than lefties. Also, lefties had a hard time reaching base against Met pitching, but they did a great job slugging.
Longest Winning Streak: 10 (7/6-7/17)
Longest Losing Streak: 2 (7/18-7/19)
Yeah, it was a pretty good month.
Pitchers “Beaten”: (Not necessarily the pitcher who took the loss) Todd Wellemeyer, Mitchell Boggs (twice), Jamie Moyer (twice), Kyle Kendrick, Adam Eaton, Tim Lincecum, Jonathan Sanchez, Barry Zito, Aaron Cook, Ubaldo Jimenez, Mike Redman, Johnny Cueto, Edinson Volquez, Brett Myers, Kyle Lohse, Scott Olsen
Pitchers “Beaten by”: (Again, not necessarily the pitcher who got the win) Joel Pineiro (twice), J. A. Happ, Bronson Arroyo, Josh Fogg, Joe Blanton, Ricky Nolasco, Josh Johnson
Best Hitter: Carlos Delgado was simply awesome. He hit .357/.445/.714 with nine homeruns and 24 RBI. Not to be lost in all this, however, was the month Fernando Tatis had. He actually hit even better than Delgado, going .397/.463/.767, but did so in fewer at-bats, so I’ll stick with Carlos. June winner: Carlos Beltran
Worst Hitter: Who didn’t have a great month? Not many, but Carlos Beltran didn’t play particularly well. After a fabulous June, Beltran did nada in July, hitting just .248/.333/.386. Brian Schneider also didn’t hit too well, but posted a higher on-base average, and saw less action. June winner: Luis Castillo
Best Pitcher: It was a great month for the pitching staff. There are a number of fine choices, including Johan Santana and Mike Pelfrey, but this award plainly belongs to Oliver Perez. Ollie made five starts and threw 32.2 innings, going 1-1 with a 1.38 ERA and 36 strikeouts while allowing just two homers. The walks were a little high (15 free passes allowed) but an improvement for Perez. June winner: Johan Santana
Worst Pitcher: This is definitely the hardest one to hand out this month, but John Maine was pretty lousy. He made the same number of starts as the other three starters, but threw six fewer innings than Perez and had a 5.13 ERA. His strikeout rate was fine, but walks and homeruns hurt Maine badly. Pedro Feliciano was also up for this, but he lacked Maine’s impact. June winner: Pedro Martinez
Best Pitching Performance: I’ll go with Johan Santana’s complete-game gem against the Cardinals last week. There were a number of candidates for this award, for a change, including Mike Pelfrey’s start against Colorado (eight shutout innings), and Oliver Perez’s 12-strikeout performance against the Phillies. In the end, I picked the guy who went the distance. June winner: Mike Pelfrey
Best Defensive Play: I don’t know if I can go with any play other than Carlos Beltran’s Endy-esque catch over the centerfield wall at Shea on the 27th. A thing of beauty. June winner: Fernando Tatis
Biggest Surprise: Tatis. Considering that Tatis was an afterthought for most of the year, the fact that he’s won a job as one of the team’s corner outfielders is pretty impressive. I openly mocked his potential to help the team during spring training, but here he is, hitting .319/.368/.519 in 160 at-bats through the end of July. June winner: Aaron Heilman
Biggest Disappointment: Beltran. Almost the whole team was hitting well at the same time, so it was a little disheartening to see Beltran struggling. Just imagine how things might’ve looked if Beltran played as well as he had in June. June winner: David Wright
What’s in Store for August?
The Mets obviously began August with a trio of games at Houston, which should have been pretty easy (they weren’t). Next, the Mets return home to face the Padres and Marlins before hitting the road again. They’ll first travel to Washington to face the Nats before hitting up Pittsburgh for a quartet of games at PNC, where there will be a large number of Geeks in attendance. They return home for three against Atlanta and four more against Houston. The team then heads to Philadelphia for two more. At that point, they will have played 23 straight games without a day off. They’ll get one, just before playing another key series against the Marlins.
It’s a long month with only two off-days, one of which they’ll have today, and it’s going to be difficult keeping their relief pitchers rested, especially with John Maine injured. Of course, even while their relief corps was well-rested, it faltered twice against the Astros, so maybe the extra work will help. Otherwise, they just need to keep doing what they’ve been doing throughout July. This isn’t a very difficult schedule despite the lack of rest, but the Marlins and Phils figure to be the worst of it, so they need to seize their opportunities.
References
Stats are courtesy of David Pinto’s Day-by-Day Database, the Hardball Times, and Baseball-Reference.com, as always.
You can see Beltran’s leaping catch at Mets.com’s Top Plays archive.
Alex is a raving lunatic whose work can be found regularly here at Mets Geek. He welcomes comments and criticisms at kingblackfish@yahoo.com.
Think I saw Cancel hot on the heels of a repo man once. Maybe the Good Humor man. Great writeup, thanks.
Normally, you would think the upcoming schedule is very much in the Mets favor. But this being the Mets…..all bets are off. When you play down to the level of your competition, you’re bound to stink. I keep waiting for Beltran to get hot. Unfortunately there’s the possibility he won’t. And Tatis seems to be coming back to earth as the calendar changed. Mr. Delgado, on the other hand didn’t seem to notice that July ended. Who knows what’s to come?
This team is missing too many critical pieces to make a real run at anything post season. Its just not going to happen and people need to realize it. I love my Mets but I dont think its fair to expect the world from them when theyre playing with 1/3 starting MLB players, 1/3 minor league players and 1/3 bench players and not to mention most people are playing out of position. The bullpen has been a disaster and ignored all season and we have had massive starting pitching problems all season as well.
I love my Mets but im not going to expect something thats not realistic because its not fair to the team or the fans and I think the media needs to figure that out.
I <3 The NY Mets.