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July 18, 2008
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Upcoming Series: Cincinnati Reds Pitchers, Part II
Scribbled by: Alex Nelson @ 12:36 am | Filed under: Articles

Continuing from yesterday, the final two pitchers have been revealed to be Josh Fogg (1-2, 7.94) and staff ace Edinson Volquez (12-3, 2.29).

Game 3: Josh Fogg, RHP

What’s the Story? Here’s a fun little list. Highest ERAs in baseball since 2003, minimum 600 innings pitched:

Name                   IP    ERA
Casey Fossum        603.1   5.89
Mark Hendrickson    913.2   5.24
Ramon Ortiz         774.0   5.22
Josh Fogg           867.0   5.20
Mike Maroth         789.1   5.14

I think it’s safe to say one thing: Josh Fogg isn’t particularly good. That might even be an understatement. He’s a flyball pitcher who doesn’t throw hard, he can’t get a strikeout for the life of him, he doesn’t give up ground balls, gives up buckets of homeruns, and his stuff is underwhelming in general. At least he doesn’t walk too many. Fogg throws his fastball around 85-88 and complements it with a cutter, a pretty good change, a decent curve, and a mediocre slider.

Last Year: Fogg made two starts against the Mets last year. In the first, at Shea, he had one of his two best starts of the year. His command was just fine, and he went seven innings, allowing three runs on eight hits and a walk. He struck out five. In the second—this one at Coors Field—he wasn’t as lucky. Again, he only walked a single batter, but this time, he went six frames, allowing five runs (four earned) on eight hits, striking out three. The big blow was a first inning, three-run homerun given up to David Wright.

What to Expect: Fogg’s definitely what I’d call a finesse guy. Expect him to throw few straight fastballs, instead focusing on his secondary offerings which might not be all that secondary to Fogg anymore. In recent years, he’s grown increasingly reliant on his cutter, which he’ll throw especially often to lefties, though he’ll also try to run it over the outside part of the plate to righties. He’s a nibbler who doesn’t like to walk anyone, so hitters will get some pitches to hit.

Game 4: Edinson Volquez, RHP

What’s the Story? The trade that brought Volquez to Cincy for Josh Hamilton is one of those deals that’s worked out well for both parties. When you’re dealing with players that have performed as well as those two have, that’s a rare thing. You could make the argument that Hamilton is the AL’s MVP right now and Volquez, who leads the NL in ERA and is second in wins and strikeout rate, is the NL Cy Young. Volquez has always had some excellent stuff: a low-to-mid-90s with movement, a fantastic changeup, and a good overhand curve that can be inconsistent. When he’s throwing strikes with the fastball, he’s nigh unstoppable.

Last Year: As a prior resident of the American League, Volquez has never faced the Mets.

What to Expect: As I said, the key to Volquez’s performance is command. In Texas, control issues repeated hurt him at the major league level, and he has permitted 56 walks in 117.2 innings this season. The fastball is the most problematic. Sometimes he falls behind with the pitch, which doesn’t let him utilize that great changeup to its full extent. Because when he gets two strikes, hitters are pretty much sitting ducks. He’ll mostly work fastball-change, but he will mix in a few curves to right-handed hitters.

Overall: Picks: Win vs. Fogg, loss vs. Volquez. Sound right?


Alex is a raving lunatic whose work can be found regularly here at Mets Geek. He welcomes comments and criticisms at kingblackfish@yahoo.com.

2 Responses to “Upcoming Series: Cincinnati Reds Pitchers, Part II”

  1. Comment posted by JamesSC on July 18, 2008 at 9:26 am (#769702)

    I think we take 3 of 4 this weekend and drop the finale to Volquez. Also, isn’t Pelfrey going to be pitchign the final game now that Pedro has been held back with the corisone shot?

  2. Comment posted by madisonmetsfan on July 18, 2008 at 11:57 am (#769863)

    I had cortisone for my shoulder once. Not pleasant. I don’t even want to think about where they put the needle for a groin injury.

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